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Round 11 player picks: More DGW players, anyone?

While MLS Fantasy’s round 11 is the second of five consecutive double game weeks, it’s not quite as big as round 10, and not anywhere near as huge as round 12 will be.  This week we just have two teams pulling double duty — Toronto FC and Columbus Crew SC.

Maybe not-so-surprisingly, not all our top player picks are from either of these teams.  Toronto already showed last week that they’re not afraid to make big players rotation risks (ie: Sebastian Giovinco, Victor Vazquez, Eriq Zavaleta), so not all of the DGW players are automatic pick-ups.

Goalkeepers

David Bingham – San Jose Earthquakes – $6.1m

Total points: 48 (9 last round)
Clean sheets: 4
Saves: 19
Points per game: 4.8
Points per minute: 0.053 (@900mins)
Current form: 6.2
Defending bonus: 12
Selected by: 2.2% (trending 0.2%)

He’s expensive, but San Jose’s match-up this week is too tempting not to take advantage of for me.  After their 3-0 beating they put on Portland last week, the Quakes travel to Commerce City to take on the Colorado Rapids — who sit in dead last in the league table with four points, and have allowed 12 goals on the season while only scoring five total. The Rapids still need to figure out where goals are going to come from this season, but in the meantime, I’d expect teams like San Jose to take full advantage of the struggling club, and I can see Bingham having a big haul this week.

Oh, and he’s a great differential pick while only being owned by 2.2% of fantasy managers at the time of this post.

Round 11 match-up: Colorado Rapids (A)

Other notable options

If you’re looking for a solid budget ‘keeper, look no further than Cody Cropper ($4.0m).  The New England Revolution host a struggling Real Salt Lake side, who have only won two games this year and have been outscored 9-1 in their last three outings.  RSL is already missing a slew of players to injury, but now they’ll be missing key attacking components in Brooks Lennon and Sebastian Saucedo as they’ve been called up for the US U-20 World Cup squad.  Lacking defense and offense could mean a really great round for New England players.

 

Defenders

Florian Jungwirth – San Jose Earthquakes – $6.1m

Total points: 83 (18 last round)
Clean sheets: 4
Goals: 2
Assists: 2
Points per game: 8.3
Points per minute: 0.092 (@900mins)
Current form: 10.6
Attacking bonus: 2
Defending bonus: 22
Selected by: 7.5% (trending 3.3%)

Is this one a surprise to anyone, really?  Currently the highest-scoring player in the game in both total points and bonus points, Jungwirth has proven to be a must-have on anyone’s roster.  His last three rounds have seen him score 18, 17, and 12 points respectively, which includes two assists and a clean sheet last week against the Timbers.  The same principles talked about for Bingham apply to Jungwirth here, too.  Colorado’s four points overall in the league table means that Jungwirth and the Earthquakes have one of the best chances at a clean sheet this week.   He ended up being the highest-scoring player overall from round 10, beating out all the double game week players handily.

Right now he’s only selected by 7.5% of managers, but that’s already trending up 3.3% from last round and I expect it to keep climbing all the way through to the deadline.

Round 11 match-up: Colorado Rapids (A)

Other notable options

In more of a budget move, Nick Hagglund ($5.3m) could be a solid choice, although he did play all 180 minutes in round 10, so I’d consider him to be a rotation risk this week. He scored 13 points overall last week, so if Greg Vanney decides to push him through both games this round, expect him to get a decent amount of points again.  The same goes for Justin Morrow ($6.4m).

I’d put Nicolai Naess ($5.8m) in this conversation also, as he’s only missed five minutes all season.  He’s not much of a bonus points scorer, but is reliable and consistent when Columbus plays well.  For a single-game player this week, maybe look to Joevin Jones who’s visiting Chicago.  In his last three matches he’s scored 30 points, and his form is at an impressive 8.0 right now.

 

Midfielders

Federico Higuain – Columbus Crew SC – $10.0m

Total points: 60 (11 last round)
Goals: 3
Assists: 4
Points per game: 6.7
Points per minute: 0.075 (@796mins)
Current form: 7.8
Attacking bonus: 5
Defending bonus: 2
Selected by: 5.6% (trending 3.8%)

Higuain has a good shot at scoring some substantial points this week as he’s the first DGW man to make this list of player picks.  Last week against New England, he racked up an impressive 11 points in only 79 minutes of action, notching a goal, one attacking bonus point, and a 92% pass completion rate for another point.

With games against Toronto and Montreal this week, I can see him going the full 180 and coming out on top for the midfielders this round.  You can take it or leave it, but his projection is set at 16 this round.  Since his overall projection accuracy is at 92% — he’s only under-performed his projected points in two of 10 rounds — he could be a pretty safe bet.

Round 11 match-up: Toronto FC (H) / Montreal Impact (A)

Other notable options

Normally I’d be talking about someone like Victor Vazquez ($8.8m) here, but he’s definitely a rotation risk as he only played one of the two games last week, so he’s probably likely to do the same this round.  I’d be leaning more toward Nicolas Lodeiro ($11.5m) who’s expensive, but has a high ceiling and will play a favorable match-up in Chicago this week.  If you’re looking for another DGW midfielder, Wil Trapp ($7.1m) is an inexpensive and solid solution.  He’s played the full 90 in nine of Columbus’ 10 matches this season, and has been decently consistent the whole time.

Also, you can (almost) never go wrong with the work rate of Romain Alessandrini ($9.8m).  His point total dropped off for a few weeks, but he scored a solid 10 last week and has four goals and four assists on the season — one of LA’s best players by far.

 

Forwards

Sebastian Giovinco – Toronto FC – $12.5m

Total points: 56 (14 last round)
Goals: 5
Assists: 1
Points per game: 7.0
Points per minute: 0.084 (@669mins)
Current form: 8.4
Attacking bonus: 4
Defending bonus: 3
Selected by: 32.3% (trending 1.2%)

Ok, it has to be said up front: yes, he’s an absolute rotation risk.  And yes, he’s the most expensive player in the game.  But that being said, Gio notched 14 points in the one game he played in last week’s DGW, so even if he only plays one of the two matches this round, chances are he’s going to make the most of it.  He had a pretty slow start to the season, but he seems to be back in full force, scoring 38 points in his last three matches.  If we’re speaking about projection accuracy, his is at a solid 98% this season, and the only time he’s under-performed was last week, scoring 14 when he was projected at 19.  Guaranteed he would have crushed that number if he had played both games, though.  He’s projected at 17 this week, which honestly should be a pretty easy task for the Atomic Ant.

Selected by 32.3% at the time of this post, he won’t do much good as a differential, but chances are if you don’t have him on your team you’ll fall behind the rest of your league.  Exactly what happened to me last week!

Round 11 match-up: Columbus Crew SC (A), Minnesota United FC (H)

Other notable options

We’re pretty spoiled for choice with forwards in round 11.  Take your pick of the litter, really — Jozy Altidore ($10.3m), who played both games last week, is a good cheap alternative to Giovinco if you like Toronto.  Ola Kamara ($10.3m) should do some damage in this DGW as well.  If you’re a gambling man, you could hope that CJ Sapong ($8.0m) bags himself another hat trick as Philly heads to DC — or at least performs half as well as he did last week.  In the most baller budget move of them all, you could pick up Raheem Edwards ($3.9m) who played 140 minutes in last round’s DGW, and while he only scored seven points, it’s a pretty low risk for what’s likely to be a low reward.

In two of my favorite choices this round, though, Maxi Urruti ($9.0m) and Chris Wondolowski ($8.6m) both have the opportunity to really light it up after having great games in round 10.


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